BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
6º
5º
13
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 83 |
1º
|
79.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 73 |
2º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 70 |
3º
|
61% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 53 |
4º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 47 |
5º
|
39% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 41 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 38 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 35 |
9º
|
38% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 25 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 4% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 85.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 1
BFC
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 6
VAL
24%
25%
52%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 3
AUD
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 2
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 0
BFC
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
GRO
4 - 2
FKJ
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 1
LIE
20%
25%
55%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
FKJ
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 1
FKJ
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 5
CAR
16%
24%
60%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |