BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
60.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
BFC
76%
17%
7%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BFC
0 - 4
VEN
12%
22%
66%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
RIG
2 - 0
BFC
77%
15%
9%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BFC
2 - 1
FKS
14%
23%
62%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BFC
3 - 3
FSM
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
VEN
1 - 2
FKJ
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
FKJ
34%
30%
36%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FKJ
2 - 0
FKS
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
LIE
1 - 3
FKJ
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FKJ
1 - 0
CAR
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |