BFC Daugavpils vs Skonto Riga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
59.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FKJ
2 - 0
BFC
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BFC
1 - 0
FKS
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LIE
5 - 0
BFC
68%
20%
11%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BFC
4 - 1
FSM
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
FKD
4 - 2
BFC
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Skonto Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FCD
0 - 1
FCS
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
FCS
0 - 3
FKJ
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FKS
1 - 0
FCS
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
FCS
1 - 2
LIE
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
FSM
0 - 3
FCS
10%
20%
70%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | -1 |