Béziers vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
56.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Béziers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1958 |
MET
4 - 0
BEZ
71%
16%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
BEZ
2 - 0
REI
10%
17%
74%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | +2 |
| 01 May. 1958 |
TFC
3 - 2
BEZ
79%
13%
8%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
BEZ
0 - 1
NIC
26%
22%
52%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
ASS
1 - 2
BEZ
87%
8%
5%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1992 |
SPO
1 - 0
LYO
52%
27%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1992 |
CAN
0 - 1
SPO
47%
28%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1992 |
SPO
1 - 1
MON
28%
29%
43%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
MAR
0 - 1
SPO
83%
12%
5%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1992 |
SPO
4 - 2
ASN
56%
25%
20%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |