Béziers vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Béziers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
FCM
0 - 0
BEZ
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
BEZ
1 - 0
BAY
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BEZ
0 - 2
SAE
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
MON
1 - 0
BEZ
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BEZ
3 - 1
ROD
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
MON
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ROD
1 - 0
MAR
43%
27%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
COL
33%
30%
37%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
LEP
3 - 1
MAR
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
VAL
34%
27%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |