Béziers vs Castanet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
6.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
4º
1º
41
2º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Béziers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ROD
2 - 2
BEZ
11%
19%
70%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BEZ
0 - 0
FCA
79%
15%
7%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TOU
3 - 1
BEZ
13%
21%
66%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BEZ
1 - 0
USJ
85%
11%
4%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FBP
1 - 3
BEZ
8%
17%
75%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
MON
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 2
CAS
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
COL
43%
25%
32%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 0
FCA
39%
23%
39%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
TOU
2 - 0
CAS
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |