Betlemi vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Betlemi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
MES
2 - 1
BET
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BET
4 - 2
STU
25%
22%
53%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
BET
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SKU
1 - 0
BET
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 2
GAG
22%
22%
56%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
GAG
4 - 0
SKU
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SAS
2 - 1
GAG
28%
27%
46%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
GAG
1 - 0
GUR
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
GAG
4 - 0
CHI
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |