Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 5-6
Real Betis vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
24.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Betis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
BET
4 - 0
FCB
33%
22%
45%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
FCB
2 - 0
BET
81%
12%
8%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1933 |
ESP
1 - 2
BET
71%
16%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
BET
3 - 1
ALA
62%
19%
19%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
ARE
3 - 3
BET
66%
17%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
VCF
6 - 0
VAD
74%
14%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
VAD
2 - 2
VCF
37%
22%
41%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
ALA
1 - 1
VCF
46%
21%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
ATH
8 - 2
VCF
82%
11%
8%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
VCF
2 - 2
RSO
44%
22%
34%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |