Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-3
Real Betis vs Sestao Sport Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Betis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
OSA
3 - 1
BET
32%
27%
42%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
BET
1 - 0
VAD
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
SPO
4 - 0
BET
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
BET
2 - 1
CAS
82%
14%
5%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
UES
0 - 1
BET
15%
25%
60%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Sestao Sport Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
SSC
8 - 1
LAR
92%
6%
2%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
RAC
2 - 1
SSC
76%
15%
8%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1970 |
FIG
2 - 1
SSC
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
SSC
8 - 1
HUL
90%
8%
3%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1970 |
SSC
3 - 1
FIG
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |