Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 4-3
Real Betis vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Betis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
SDC
2 - 1
BET
31%
23%
47%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
CAD
1 - 2
BET
38%
23%
40%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
BET
1 - 2
CAD
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
BAD
1 - 0
BET
16%
24%
59%
|
74 | 33 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
BET
4 - 3
GIR
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
SDC
2 - 1
BET
31%
23%
47%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
SDC
3 - 0
ELC
68%
16%
16%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
CON
3 - 0
SDC
49%
21%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
SDC
3 - 2
CON
62%
19%
19%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ELC
6 - 1
SDC
43%
22%
35%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |