Real Betis vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Betis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1928 |
VCF
3 - 3
BET
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1928 |
SEV
3 - 3
BET
54%
22%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1928 |
BET
3 - 0
CAR
84%
10%
5%
|
76 | 43 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1928 |
BET
4 - 2
LEV
83%
11%
6%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1927 |
FCB
1 - 0
BET
74%
15%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1928 |
MUR
5 - 1
LEV
74%
15%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1928 |
CAR
2 - 2
MUR
28%
24%
49%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1928 |
MUR
1 - 0
VCF
32%
24%
44%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1928 |
MUR
1 - 2
SEV
31%
23%
46%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1927 |
MUR
1 - 2
FCB
23%
23%
55%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | -1 |