Real Betis vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Betis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BET
0 - 0
UDL
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
VAD
0 - 0
BET
42%
25%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BET
2 - 0
MIR
73%
19%
9%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GIR
1 - 3
BET
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BET
0 - 1
ALB
72%
19%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LUG
3 - 3
ZAR
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FCB
0 - 1
LUG
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
LUG
4 - 3
OSA
24%
27%
48%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
REC
0 - 0
LUG
57%
26%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LUG
0 - 0
LEG
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |