Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 6-3
Real Betis vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
5.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Betis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
BET
2 - 1
RMA
21%
23%
57%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
ATH
1 - 0
BET
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1962 |
HER
2 - 3
BET
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
BET
2 - 3
FCB
33%
24%
44%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
RSO
6 - 0
BET
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
UDL
2 - 0
HER
61%
22%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
LEV
3 - 1
HER
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1962 |
HER
2 - 3
BET
41%
24%
35%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
HER
1 - 1
MAL
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
REC
3 - 2
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |