Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-0
Real Betis vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
14.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Betis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1959 |
CDT
3 - 0
BET
39%
24%
37%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
BET
6 - 1
CDT
86%
9%
5%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
BET
0 - 1
RSO
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
VCF
2 - 0
BET
74%
15%
11%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
BET
2 - 0
OVI
61%
19%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1959 |
CEL
1 - 0
CON
75%
14%
12%
|
71 | 19 | 52 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1959 |
CON
1 - 1
CEL
37%
22%
42%
|
71 | 19 | 52 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
CEL
2 - 2
CON
75%
14%
12%
|
71 | 18 | 53 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
CEL
0 - 1
SEV
35%
24%
42%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
GRA
2 - 0
CEL
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |