Europa League 1/16
Global 3-2
Real Betis vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Betis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
BET
0 - 1
DEP
38%
27%
35%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
ZAR
4 - 3
BET
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
OSA
0 - 2
BET
47%
26%
27%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
RMA
1 - 0
BET
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
BET
0 - 2
VCF
37%
29%
35%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
SPA
0 - 1
AZA
25%
23%
53%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
RBC
0 - 5
AZA
16%
22%
62%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
AZA
1 - 1
VIT
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2006 |
AZA
4 - 0
MVV
82%
12%
6%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2006 |
RJC
1 - 4
AZA
31%
24%
45%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |