Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 1-4
Real Betis vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Betis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1992 |
BET
1 - 0
FCB
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1991 |
UDL
1 - 0
BET
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
BET
1 - 1
CAS
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
LLE
6 - 2
BET
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1991 |
BET
2 - 0
GET
76%
16%
9%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1992 |
CDT
4 - 1
ATH
42%
29%
29%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1991 |
ATH
2 - 3
VCF
43%
27%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
OSA
1 - 1
ATH
50%
28%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
ATH
3 - 2
ATM
31%
29%
40%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1991 |
ATH
3 - 0
PAL
79%
14%
8%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | +1 |