Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 6-4
Real Betis vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Betis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1964 |
ALA
1 - 1
BET
31%
24%
45%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1964 |
BET
2 - 3
FCB
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
ZAR
3 - 1
BET
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
BET
4 - 2
ATM
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
MUR
2 - 3
BET
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1964 |
ALA
1 - 1
BET
31%
24%
45%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
HOS
3 - 2
ALA
60%
20%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
ALA
0 - 1
BAD
75%
14%
11%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
RAC
1 - 1
ALA
70%
18%
11%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
ALA
1 - 4
OSA
41%
27%
33%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |