Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-3
Betis Deportivo vs At. Sanluqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Betis Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
ADP
1 - 0
BET
68%
21%
11%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
SAN
2 - 1
BET
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
BET
0 - 1
SEV
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
BET
4 - 0
PIL
86%
10%
4%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
DHE
2 - 0
BET
22%
26%
52%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
SAN
2 - 2
LIN
37%
31%
32%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
SAN
2 - 1
BET
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
LEG
1 - 1
SAN
79%
15%
7%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
SAN
1 - 3
CAD
58%
24%
18%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
MAI
0 - 2
SAN
37%
29%
34%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |