Philadelphia Union II vs Rochester New York analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
PHU
0 - 1
PNN
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
PHU
3 - 0
WIL
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
PHU
2 - 0
PIT
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 2
PHU
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
CIN
1 - 0
PHU
68%
21%
11%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Rochester New York
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 1
ROC
27%
27%
45%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 1
MON
66%
22%
12%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 0
ORL
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
CIN
30%
30%
41%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
NYO
0 - 0
ROC
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |