Philadelphia Union II vs Louisville City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
46.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
PHU
68%
18%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
OTT
1 - 0
PHU
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
IND
1 - 2
PHU
70%
18%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
PHU
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
PHU
4 - 1
RIC
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
LOU
3 - 2
NER
17%
20%
64%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
CIN
0 - 2
LOU
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 0
LOU
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 1
AFC
67%
19%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2018 |
LOU
5 - 0
LON
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | -1 |