Philadelphia Union II vs Cincinnati analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PHU
1 - 1
CHA
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
PHU
0 - 1
NSC
23%
28%
49%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
TAM
2 - 0
PHU
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
LOU
4 - 0
PHU
67%
21%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
PHU
1 - 1
LOU
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CIN
0 - 1
LOU
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
IND
2 - 3
CIN
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
CIN
45%
25%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
TAM
3 - 0
CIN
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -3 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
TOR
3 - 4
CIN
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |