Beşiktaş vs Sivasspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
3º
3º
8
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 70 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 62 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
|
3º
|
13 | 62 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 54 |
4º
|
6.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 54 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 52 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
|
9º
|
8 | 52 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 52 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 51 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
19º
|
1 | 50 |
11º
|
4% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 48 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 47 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 46 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 43 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 42 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 37 |
17º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 36 |
18º
|
17% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 32 |
19º
|
39% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
17.5% | 0.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
16% | 5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
10% | 6% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
11.5% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
44.5% | 77.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
BJK
5 - 1
LUG
47%
23%
30%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
3 - 3
BJK
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BJK
4 - 2
ANT
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 2
BJK
37%
26%
38%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 5
BJK
52%
22%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sivasspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SIV
0 - 1
EYU
52%
24%
23%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KAY
1 - 2
SIV
39%
25%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SIV
0 - 0
TRA
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
ERZ
0 - 1
SIV
19%
23%
59%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
SIV
1 - 2
FKN
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |