Beşiktaş vs Samsunspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
7º
6º
40
1º
18º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 79 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 60 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 59 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 53 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 53 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 50 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 49 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 46 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 45 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 44 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 42 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 36 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
26% | |
|
19º
|
5 | 32 |
18º
|
30% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 25 |
19º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 3% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
6% | 28% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
13.5% | 20.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 48% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BJK
2 - 1
BOD
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
SIV
0 - 1
BJK
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
RIZ
1 - 1
BJK
46%
25%
30%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BJK
1 - 1
ALA
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
ADA
2 - 1
BJK
56%
22%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Samsunspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
KAY
0 - 1
SAM
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
SAM
2 - 1
TRA
46%
24%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
SIV
0 - 0
SAM
46%
26%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
EYU
3 - 0
SAM
42%
26%
33%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 4
YOR
84%
12%
3%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | -1 |