Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Beşiktaş vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
BJK
1 - 0
ANK
76%
16%
9%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2003 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BJK
63%
21%
17%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
TRA
1 - 1
BJK
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
BJK
3 - 4
GEN
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
BJK
7 - 3
GOZ
83%
13%
4%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
LAZ
4 - 1
EMP
76%
15%
9%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2003 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BJK
63%
21%
17%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ROM
1 - 1
LAZ
52%
24%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
WIS
1 - 2
LAZ
40%
25%
36%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
PRG
2 - 2
LAZ
34%
27%
39%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |