Beşiktaş vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ANK
1 - 4
BJK
31%
25%
44%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BJK
4 - 0
DIY
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
TRA
1 - 0
BJK
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
BJK
1 - 0
BOG
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
BJK
2 - 3
ANK
72%
18%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
FEN
6 - 0
SAK
78%
15%
8%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
FEN
1 - 3
LYO
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
GAZ
0 - 1
FEN
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
FEN
2 - 0
DEN
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
MUD
6 - 2
FEN
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |