Cup Final
Global 3-1
Beşiktaş vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1989 |
FEN
0 - 1
BJK
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
BJK
3 - 1
KON
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
TRA
2 - 1
BJK
49%
27%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1989 |
KON
1 - 2
BJK
25%
25%
50%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
BJK
0 - 1
GAL
53%
26%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1989 |
FEN
0 - 1
BJK
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
MAL
2 - 1
FEN
34%
24%
42%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
SAR
3 - 4
FEN
41%
27%
33%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1989 |
FEN
1 - 0
MAL
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1989 |
FEN
4 - 1
KON
86%
10%
4%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |