Champions League 1/16
Global 1-3
Beşiktaş vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
40%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
BOL
2 - 1
BJK
40%
31%
29%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
ZON
0 - 1
BJK
50%
29%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
ASV
3 - 1
BJK
76%
17%
7%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
BJK
6 - 0
ANT
75%
18%
7%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
ANK
1 - 1
BJK
49%
28%
24%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
ASV
2 - 0
SWA
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1982 |
MAC
0 - 1
ASV
46%
26%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
ASV
3 - 1
BJK
76%
17%
7%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
ASV
4 - 1
NTT
57%
23%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
ASV
4 - 1
LUT
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |