Beşiktaş vs Antalyaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
6º
5º
25
6º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 81 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
2º
|
60.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 62 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 60 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 57 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 55 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 55 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 54 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 50 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 48 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
25 | 44 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 43 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 42 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 41 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 39 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
35.5% | |
|
19º
|
5 | 30 |
18º
|
36% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 23 |
19º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
10% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
17% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
72% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 11% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 2
BJK
37%
26%
38%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 5
BJK
52%
22%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
BJK
2 - 1
SAK
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BJK
2 - 0
GEN
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
BJK
0 - 0
BAN
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Antalyaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ANT
0 - 0
GOZ
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 2
KHO
70%
18%
11%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
ANT
2 - 3
AKT
74%
17%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
AKT
4 - 0
ANT
23%
25%
52%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
ANT
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |