Champions League 1/16
Global 1-4
Beşiktaş vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
AJA
2 - 0
BJK
68%
17%
15%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1966 |
BJK
1 - 1
ANK
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
ANK
1 - 5
BJK
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
BJK
4 - 0
IZM
69%
20%
12%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
GEN
2 - 2
BJK
31%
27%
42%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
SIT
1 - 1
AJA
20%
20%
60%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
AJA
2 - 0
BJK
68%
17%
15%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
AJA
5 - 0
SPA
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
MVV
2 - 4
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
AJA
5 - 0
DWS
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |