Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Skrapari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besëlidhja Lezhë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
HIM
0 - 0
BES
24%
28%
48%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2011 |
VLO
0 - 0
BES
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
BES
1 - 0
MAM
58%
24%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
KUK
2 - 0
BES
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BES
1 - 0
ADA
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Skrapari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
ELB
3 - 1
SKR
58%
22%
21%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2011 |
HIM
0 - 0
SKR
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
SKR
0 - 3
VLO
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
MAM
1 - 1
SKR
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SKR
1 - 2
KUK
32%
28%
40%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |