Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Pogradeci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besëlidhja Lezhë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 0
BES
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
TOM
0 - 0
BES
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
BES
3 - 0
VLO
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MAM
1 - 0
BES
32%
30%
38%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BES
3 - 4
KUK
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ILI
3 - 1
POG
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
POG
1 - 3
KFS
13%
24%
63%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
TEU
5 - 3
POG
65%
22%
13%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
POG
1 - 1
APO
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
KAM
2 - 1
POG
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |