Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Oriku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
14º
14º
30
6º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besëlidhja Lezhë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
APO
1 - 1
BES
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
DIN
4 - 0
BES
52%
28%
20%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BES
2 - 3
TER
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BES
0 - 1
APO
34%
26%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LUS
3 - 2
BES
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Oriku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ORI
0 - 2
PAR
10%
20%
71%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ORI
2 - 1
TOM
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 0
ORI
33%
28%
39%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 0
ORI
81%
14%
5%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 0
KFS
28%
28%
44%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |