Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Naftëtari Kuçovë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besëlidhja Lezhë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
TER
1 - 1
BES
56%
26%
18%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BES
1 - 1
HIM
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ELB
3 - 0
BES
45%
28%
27%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BES
2 - 1
GRA
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
KUK
1 - 2
BES
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Naftëtari Kuçovë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
HIM
1 - 1
NAF
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NAF
1 - 2
GRA
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MAM
1 - 0
NAF
46%
27%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NAF
0 - 3
POG
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
FLA
4 - 1
NAF
74%
18%
9%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |