Besëlidhja Lezhë vs KF Iliria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besëlidhja Lezhë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
KAM
1 - 2
BES
29%
30%
41%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BES
3 - 1
BES
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
KRU
1 - 0
BES
36%
29%
36%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BES
6 - 0
ADA
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MAM
0 - 1
BES
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
KF Iliria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ILI
0 - 1
MAM
31%
27%
42%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 0
ILI
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ILI
1 - 0
VEL
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ILI
2 - 0
KAM
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ILI
3 - 2
BUR
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |