Besëlidhja Lezhë vs KF Iliria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besëlidhja Lezhë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
BES
1 - 0
BES
64%
23%
13%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BES
2 - 0
BUR
63%
23%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BUT
0 - 0
BES
36%
28%
37%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BES
1 - 0
LUS
45%
29%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LUF
1 - 0
BES
53%
27%
21%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
KF Iliria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ILI
3 - 1
SKR
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
HIM
2 - 0
ILI
25%
25%
51%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ILI
2 - 1
VLO
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MAM
2 - 0
ILI
39%
26%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ILI
2 - 2
KUK
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |