Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Gramozi Ersekë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besëlidhja Lezhë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 1
BES
36%
30%
34%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BES
2 - 1
ILI
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
BES
1 - 0
BES
64%
23%
13%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BES
2 - 0
BUR
63%
23%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BUT
0 - 0
BES
36%
28%
37%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Gramozi Ersekë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 1
SKR
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
HIM
2 - 0
GRA
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 0
VLO
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MAM
1 - 2
GRA
57%
24%
19%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 4
KUK
24%
26%
50%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |