Cup 1/16
Global 4-2
Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Burreli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besëlidhja Lezhë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
TUR
3 - 1
BES
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BES
0 - 2
BYL
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
BES
4 - 4
ERZ
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
VEL
0 - 2
BES
18%
25%
58%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
BES
1 - 0
ORI
55%
25%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Burreli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 0
TOM
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
TER
0 - 0
BUR
36%
27%
36%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 2
TOM
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
BUR
2 - 1
DIN
37%
30%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
KOR
1 - 1
BUR
49%
28%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |