Cup 1/16
Global 1-2
Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besëlidhja Lezhë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LUS
3 - 2
BES
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BES
2 - 1
BES
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TUR
0 - 0
BES
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ERZ
1 - 0
BES
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BES
2 - 1
BES
56%
23%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
BES
2 - 1
APO
30%
27%
44%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
APO
5 - 2
TUR
66%
19%
14%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KOR
0 - 0
APO
43%
28%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
KOR
3 - 2
APO
42%
29%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
APO
1 - 0
TER
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |