Besëlidhja Lezhë vs AF Elbasani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besëlidhja Lezhë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ILI
0 - 1
BES
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BES
4 - 1
KKA
90%
7%
3%
|
36 | 6 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KFV
3 - 2
BES
61%
22%
18%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
KOR
3 - 0
BES
67%
21%
12%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BES
0 - 3
FLA
17%
24%
60%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
AF Elbasani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ELB
2 - 0
BUR
13%
18%
69%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
KOR
2 - 1
ELB
76%
16%
7%
|
15 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
BES
0 - 1
ELB
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ELB
3 - 2
APO
11%
20%
70%
|
13 | 51 | 38 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 1
ELB
87%
10%
4%
|
11 | 45 | 34 | +2 |