Besancon FC vs Colmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
65.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
13º
11º
24
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
24 | 51 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 51 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 41 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 33 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 31 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 28 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 23 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 38.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
40.5% | 61.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
45% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besancon FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
STR
0 - 0
BFC
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
JUR
1 - 2
BFC
56%
22%
23%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 2
UNI
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CSL
1 - 1
BFC
64%
19%
16%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 1
SEL
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Colmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
COL
1 - 3
SAR
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
ASN
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
AUX
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ESW
2 - 1
COL
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
BIE
57%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |