Cup 1/16
Global 3-0
Besa Kavajë vs KF Egnatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
LUS
3 - 2
BES
53%
25%
21%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
BES
2 - 0
ELB
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
EGN
0 - 1
BES
32%
28%
40%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
ORI
2 - 1
BES
53%
26%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
BYL
4 - 0
BES
69%
20%
11%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
KF Egnatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BES
2 - 2
EGN
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
EGN
1 - 0
BUR
40%
29%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
EGN
0 - 1
BES
32%
28%
40%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
KRU
3 - 2
EGN
74%
16%
9%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ORI
4 - 3
EGN
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |