Besa Kavajë vs AF Elbasani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.9%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.8%
3.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
+128%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
6º
11º
9º
79
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KOR
2 - 0
BES
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
APO
1 - 1
BES
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
BES
4 - 3
LUS
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VOR
4 - 2
BES
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
BES
3 - 0
BUR
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
AF Elbasani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ELB
3 - 2
APO
11%
20%
70%
|
13 | 51 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 1
ELB
87%
10%
4%
|
11 | 45 | 34 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
ELB
3 - 2
VOR
8%
15%
78%
|
10 | 49 | 39 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
KRU
1 - 1
ELB
84%
11%
4%
|
10 | 55 | 45 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ELB
4 - 1
LUZ
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 50 | 43 | +3 |