Besa Kavajë vs AF Elbasani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.9%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.8%
3.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+98%
+62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
6º
11º
9º
79
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KOR
2 - 0
BES
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
APO
1 - 1
BES
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
BES
4 - 3
LUS
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VOR
4 - 2
BES
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
BES
3 - 0
BUR
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AF Elbasani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ELB
3 - 2
APO
11%
20%
70%
|
14 | 52 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 1
ELB
87%
10%
4%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
ELB
3 - 2
VOR
8%
15%
78%
|
11 | 51 | 40 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
KRU
1 - 1
ELB
84%
11%
4%
|
11 | 56 | 45 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ELB
4 - 1
LUZ
8%
14%
78%
|
9 | 51 | 42 | +2 |