KF Besa vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
54.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Besa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DEP
2 - 0
BES
49%
26%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BES
2 - 1
SAS
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 4
BES
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BES
2 - 0
BEL
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OSO
0 - 4
BES
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 0
VAR
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 1
MAK
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 2
SIL
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VOK
3 - 2
VAR
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 1
SHK
26%
28%
46%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |