KF Besa vs KF Shkëndija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
51.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
12º
10º
37
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
37 | 44 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 44 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 44 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 39 |
5º
|
68.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 29 |
6º
|
82.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 23 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 23 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 18 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 17 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 17 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 16 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 39.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 50% |
|
Mid-table
|
6% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
44% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
50% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Besa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BES
1 - 1
MAK
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BES
1 - 1
GJI
14%
21%
65%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
BES
1 - 1
MBU
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
BES
1 - 0
AKP
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
POB
1 - 5
BES
12%
22%
66%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SHK
5 - 1
SHK
84%
11%
5%
|
63 | 8 | 55 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SHK
1 - 1
FER
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
TIK
1 - 1
SHK
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
SHK
1 - 2
NOA
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
NOA
2 - 0
SHK
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |