KF Besa vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
51.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
12º
10º
32
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
37 | 44 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 44 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 44 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 39 |
5º
|
68.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 29 |
6º
|
82.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 23 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 23 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 18 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 17 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 17 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 16 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
6% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
44% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
50% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Besa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SHK
2 - 1
BES
69%
19%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SIL
2 - 0
BES
56%
24%
19%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
AKP
2 - 0
BES
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BES
2 - 1
VAR
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 1
BES
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
TIK
0 - 1
FCS
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SHK
1 - 1
FCS
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 0
MAK
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 4
SIL
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 4
FCS
24%
27%
50%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |