Berwick Rangers vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
BER
3 - 2
ALL
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
STM
3 - 1
BER
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
BER
0 - 1
KIL
19%
23%
59%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ARB
5 - 0
BER
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BER
0 - 3
EAS
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
HIB
3 - 0
MON
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
MON
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
MON
1 - 3
COV
26%
22%
52%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
BLA
4 - 3
MON
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MON
0 - 1
CLY
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |