Berwick Rangers vs Gretna 2008 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
EDI
3 - 0
BER
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BER
2 - 3
CLY
18%
23%
59%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PET
1 - 0
BER
75%
17%
8%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BER
0 - 3
ELG
28%
23%
49%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ALB
3 - 5
BER
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +3 |
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 3
KHE
10%
16%
74%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
GAL
0 - 2
GRE
45%
22%
34%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
EDA
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 2
VAL
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
DAL
2 - 1
GRE
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |