Berwick Rangers vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BER
2 - 0
MON
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
BER
1 - 0
STR
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ELG
3 - 3
BER
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BER
1 - 0
QUE
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BER
1 - 0
LIV
23%
24%
53%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
FOR
3 - 3
ELG
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 1
FOR
41%
26%
34%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BLA
1 - 0
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
FOR
5 - 1
THE
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 4
DUN
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |