Berwick Rangers vs St. Mirren II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BER
1 - 0
LIN
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BER
0 - 4
MOR
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BER
5 - 3
HAD
60%
20%
21%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
BER
3 - 2
DUN
58%
20%
22%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BER
0 - 3
BRA
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
STM
2 - 2
ALB
9%
13%
79%
|
7 | 45 | 38 | 0 |