Berrón vs U.Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
40.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berrón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 2
BER
59%
22%
20%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BER
2 - 2
AND
30%
24%
46%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 1
BER
51%
23%
25%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BER
0 - 0
AST
21%
25%
54%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ROC
5 - 2
BER
66%
20%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
U.Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
COM
1 - 0
LLA
39%
23%
38%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 2
COM
37%
23%
40%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
COM
1 - 6
MOS
36%
23%
41%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VCD
2 - 1
COM
42%
24%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
COM
5 - 0
COL
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |